Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000222 0.000248 0.000276 0.000308 0.000344 0.000383 0.000429
2025-02-09 0.000186 0.000222 0.000263 0.000313 0.000372 0.000440 0.000525
2025-02-16 0.000160 0.000201 0.000251 0.000316 0.000397 0.000495 0.000624
2025-02-23 0.000138 0.000183 0.000239 0.000315 0.000415 0.000543 0.000720
2025-03-02 0.000119 0.000165 0.000224 0.000309 0.000426 0.000582 0.000806
2025-03-09 0.000105 0.000151 0.000215 0.000307 0.000440 0.000625 0.000902
2025-03-16 0.000095 0.000141 0.000207 0.000307 0.000457 0.000672 0.001007
2025-03-23 0.000086 0.000133 0.000201 0.000309 0.000475 0.000722 0.001119
2025-03-30 0.000078 0.000124 0.000194 0.000307 0.000487 0.000763 0.001221
2025-04-06 0.000072 0.000118 0.000189 0.000309 0.000504 0.000814 0.001343
2025-04-13 0.000066 0.000112 0.000184 0.000309 0.000520 0.000862 0.001464
2025-04-20 0.000060 0.000105 0.000177 0.000305 0.000527 0.000896 0.001564
2025-04-27 0.000058 0.000103 0.000180 0.000319 0.000566 0.000990 0.001778
2025-05-04 0.000054 0.000099 0.000178 0.000323 0.000590 0.001060 0.001958
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000095 0.000175 0.000327 0.000612 0.001129 0.002143
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000091 0.000170 0.000326 0.000627 0.001184 0.002309
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000085 0.000163 0.000320 0.000631 0.001221 0.002442
2025-06-01 0.000040 0.000080 0.000158 0.000318 0.000642 0.001273 0.002609
2025-06-08 0.000037 0.000077 0.000155 0.000318 0.000658 0.001334 0.002799
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000074 0.000152 0.000320 0.000676 0.001401 0.003008
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000070 0.000148 0.000318 0.000686 0.001453 0.003192
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000068 0.000145 0.000320 0.000705 0.001525 0.003423
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000065 0.000143 0.000320 0.000721 0.001592 0.003651